BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
The government faces a turbulent relationship with Congress, Bolsonaro has decided not to file a second round of appeals, and the Senate will hear from Central Bank President Galípolo
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 25 Nov 2025
At a moment when the government is trying to push through a series of key year-end measures, political coordination inside the Planalto Palace is facing turbulence. House President Hugo Motta (Republicanos–PB) publicly broke with the Workers’ Party floor leader, Lindbergh Farias. Former President...
Security is likely to remain a priority in Congress and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 24 Nov 2025
President Lula will sign the bill that grants an income tax exemption for those earning up to R$ 5,000 per month. The Senate’s Economic Affairs Committee may vote on a bill regulating bets and fintechs. The National Congress meets to review presidential vetoes, including those related to environm...
The Supreme Court will review Bolsonaro’s pretrial detention, Lula’s appointee to the Supreme Court begins meetings with senators, and the Senate hears from Galípolo about the Banco Master case
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 24 Nov 2025
The First Panel of the Supreme Court is reviewing Bolsonaro’s pretrial detention. Justice Alexandre de Moraes ordered his arrest last Saturday for attempting to tamper with his electronic ankle monitor, even citing a risk of flight. This week, the Attorney General—appointed to fill the Supreme Co...
The Federal Police operation involving Banco Master is reverberating across Brasília, the Lower House approved the Anti-Gang Bill, and the Senate approved the bill limiting tax offsets
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 19 Nov 2025
The Federal Police operation involving Banco Master reverberated across Brasília. Political connections of the bank’s controllers are being scrutinized, especially by government allies. Opposition governors Ibaneis Rocha (MDB–DF) and Cláudio Castro (Rio de Janeiro) faced pressure over operations ...
The STF published the decision that denied Bolsonaro’s appeals, the House may vote on the Anti-Gang Bill, and the rapporteur of the Sentencing Bill is finalizing his report so that it can be discussed in the leaders' meeting
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 Nov 2025
The Supreme Federal Court (STF) published on Monday night, November 17, the decision that denied the appeals of former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) and six other convicts from the crucial core of the coup plot. With the publication of the judgment, the deadline opens for the defenses to file new...
The positioning of "independent" voters and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Nov 2025
The holiday (Black Consciousness Day) on Thursday reduces congressional activity this week. In the Lower House, the highlight is the attempt to vote on the Anti-Gang Bill. In the Senate, the Economic Affairs Committee (CAE) may discuss the bill on the taxation of betting platforms and fintechs. T...
The House is expected to attempt a vote on the Anti-Gang Bill, the Senate Economic Affairs Committee will discuss the bill that taxes fintechs and betting, and the BNDES may announce an infrastructure financing operation
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Nov 2025
The Lower House is expected to attempt a vote on Tuesday, November 18, on the Anti-Gang Bill (Bill No. 5,582/25), drafted by the Executive Branch. The rapporteur is Congressman Guilherme Derrite (PP-SP). Also on Tuesday, the Senate’s Economic Affairs Committee (CAE) will discuss the bill introduc...
Haddad gave an interview yesterday about the bus fares project, next week should be busy despite the holiday, and Lula is expected to sign the income tax exemption bill on Wednesday
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 14 Nov 2025
Finance Minister Fernando Haddad gave an interview to O Estado de S. Paulo. As previously reported, he confirmed that the project to eliminate bus fares will not move forward next year and will only be implemented if it proves fiscally viable. Next week is expected to be busy in Brasília, despite...
Motta postpones vote on Anti-Faction Bill today Nov 18, the Senate approved the reappointment of Paulo Gonet as Prosecutor General, and Alcolumbre announced the Senate’s end-of-year voting schedule
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 Nov 2025
After requests from party leaders, House President Hugo Motta (Republicanos–PB) postponed until next Tuesday (Nov 18) the vote on the Anti-Faction Bill (PL 5582/25). He therefore denied the 30-day extension requested by right-wing governors. The Senate floor yesterday approved the reappointment o...