BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
Rejection weighs more heavily on Lula and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 06 Apr 2026
President Lula may sign a provisional measure on diesel subsidies, along with support measures for the aviation sector. The government may also submit a proposal to Congress to end the 6x1 work schedule. With the nomination of Jorge Messias to the Supreme Federal Court, the government is resuming...
Lula is expected to issue a subsidy for imported diesel, the Executive Office may submit a bill on the 6x1 work schedule, and the Organized Crime CPI may hear from Galipolo and Campos Neto
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 06 Apr 2026
President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) is expected this week to issue a provisional measure creating a subsidy for imported diesel in an effort to mitigate price increases amid the conflict between the United States and Iran. The Executive Branch may also send Congress a bill proposing the elim...
Jorge Messia’s nomination to the STF was finally submitted to the Senate, Senator Pacheco formally joined the PSB, and Rogério Ceron stated that the provisional measure on a diesel subsidy should be published by next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 02 Apr 2026
Yesterday, the nomination of Jorge Messias to the Supreme Federal Court (STF) was finally submitted to the Senate. The nomination will be reviewed by the Senate’s Constitution and Justice Committee before being voted on by the full chamber. Also yesterday, Senator Rodrigo Pacheco formally joined ...
Lula announced that Alckmin will remain his running mate for VP, 80% of Brazil’s states want a subsidy proposal for imported diesel, and Senator Rodrigo Pacheco will leave the PSD and formally join the PSB today
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 01 Apr 2026
Yesterday, during a ministerial meeting, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva confirmed that Geraldo Alckmin will remain his running mate for vice president. In recent weeks, there had been considerable speculation that Lula might offer the position to the MDB or PSD parties. The Ministry of Finan...
The PSD selected Governor Caiado as its presidential candidate, President Lula will hold a cabinet meeting, and today is the deadline for Lula to sign into law the bill that increases paternity leave to 20 days by 2029
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 31 Mar 2026
The PSD has announced Ronaldo Caiado as its candidate for president. Today, Caiado is expected to resign as governor of Goiás. Today, President Lula (PT) will meet with his cabinet. During the meeting, the administration will conduct a review of the Lula III government with the aim of aligning it...
Popularity vs. elections and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 30 Mar 2026
The pace of work in Brasília will be reduced due to the holiday (Good Friday). It will still be a busy week, with governors stepping down, cabinet reshuffles, and party affiliations. The party-switching window ends on April 3. The deadline for mandatory resignations is April 4. The government may...
There will be reduced activity in Brasília this week due to the holiday, the party-switching window closes on Friday, and the mandatory resignation period ends on Saturday
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 30 Mar 2026
The week will see reduced activity in Brasília due to the holiday (Good Friday), with no significant deliberations expected in the plenary sessions of the Lower House or the Senate. Two key dates this week stand out in the electoral calendar. The party-switching window closes on Friday, April 3. ...
The STF overturned Justice Mendonça’s decision to extend the INSS CPMI, the Confaz should meet today to discuss fuel pricing, and the party-switching window ends on April 3
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 Mar 2026
By eight votes to two, the Supreme Federal Court (STF) overturned the single-justice ruling by Justice André Mendonça that had extended the work of the joint congressional inquiry committee (CPMI) on the INSS. Justice Flávio Dino opened the dissenting opinion, arguing that the matter falls within...
The STF established criteria for the payment of perks to judges, the Court will also review Justice Mendonça’s decision to extend the INSS CPMI, and the Confaz should meet today to discuss a reduction in the ICMS on diesel
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 26 Mar 2026
Yesterday, the Supreme Federal Court (STF) established criteria for the payment of indemnity allowances—commonly referred to as “perks”—to judges and members of the Public Prosecutor’s Office. Certain indemnity payments were authorized up to a limit of 35% of the constitutional salary cap, which ...