BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
The debate on the 6x1 proposal continues in the Senate, Lula said his campaign this year was the least organized of his political career, and the TSE will hear an appeal involving the gubernatorial elections in Rio
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 08 Oct 2026
The debate over ending the 6-on, 1-off (6x1) work schedule continues to advance in the Senate. Yesterday, the Senate held the second discussion session on the proposal. Today, it will hold the third. Lula said this year’s campaign has been the “least organized” he has ever participated in over th...
Webinar replay: Brazil elections - Outlook for the runoff
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 07 Oct 2026
What does the path to the presidency look like for Brazil's presidential candidates? Which way is the country leaning? Watch our webinar replay featuring GlobalSource Partners' Brazil Analyst Lucas de Aragao discussing the results of the first round and the outlook for the runoff elections.
The União Progressista party federation announced support for Flávio, the Senate will hold the second session on the 6x1 proposal, and Flávio’s campaign coordinator said the Senate should act to impeach STF justices
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 07 Oct 2026
The PP and União Brasil, which make up the União Progressista federation and remained neutral in the first round, announced yesterday (Oct. 6) their support for Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) in the runoff of the presidential election, as we had anticipated. The endorsements Flávio Bolsonaro has r...
The PP will meet to decide the party’s position in the runoff, the PSD announced that it would remain neutral, and the Senate is expected to hold the first debate on the 6x1 constitutional amendment proposal
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 06 Oct 2026
Today, the Progressistas (PP) will meet to decide the party’s position in the presidential runoff. The party remained neutral in the first round. The PP elected 41 members of the Lower House and will hold six seats in the Senate in the next Congress. The expectation is that the party will endorse...
Upcoming webinar - Brazil elections: Outlook for the runoff
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 05 Oct 2026
Date: 6 Oct 2026 Time: 10:00 AM EDT What does the path to the presidency look like for Brazil's presidential candidates? Which way is the country leaning? Join us for our live Zoom webinar featuring GlobalSource Partners' Brazil Politics Analyst Lucas de Aragao discussing the results of th...
Senator Flávio Bolsonaro and President Lula head to a runoff on October 25, campaigning begins on Friday and runs through October 23, and five presidential polls are expected to be released this week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 05 Oct 2026
Senator Flávio Bolsonaro finished ahead of President Lula in the first round of the presidential election. Flávio received 47.03% of the valid votes, compared with 45.16% for President Lula, a difference of just 1.85 percentage points. Campaigning for the runoff begins on Friday (Oct. 9) and will...
Globo canceled last night’s presidential debate, TSE Justice Estela Aranha barred the network from showing an empty podium for President Lula, and there was negative backlash surrounding the court decisions
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 02 Oct 2026
After two court decisions interfered with Globo’s presidential debate, combined with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro’s (PL) decision to withdraw from the event, Globo canceled what was expected to be the decisive debate of the election campaign. Superior Electoral Court (TSE) Justice Estela Aranha barre...
Today is the final day of the election campaign, the TSE formed a majority to remove a series of posts regarding Flávio and Our Lady of Aparecida, and today is the deadline for amendments to be submitted to two MPs
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 01 Oct 2026
Today is the final day of the election campaign. The main event will be the presidential debate broadcast by TV Globo beginning at 9:20 p.m local time. Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), Augusto Cury (Avante), and Romeu Zema (Novo) have confirmed their participation, but President Lula ...
Justice Fachin postponed the STF’s plenary discussion of the Our Lady of Aparecida case, new information involving Lulinha raises concerns, and the government continues to roll out measures that could impact the elections
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 30 Sep 2026
Supreme Federal Court (STF) President Justice Edson Fachin decided to postpone the Court’s plenary discussion of the fake news controversy involving Our Lady of Aparecida. The issue could have been heard today, but Fachin considered it more prudent to avoid taking up the matter just days before t...