BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
The House may vote on the urgent status of a bill that increases the revenue cap for MEIs, the government may submit a bill on the 6x1 work schedule, and Justice Dino ended forced retirement as the highest penalty for judges
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Mar 2026
The Lower House is expected to vote today on an urgent status request for a bill (PL 108/21) that raises the revenue cap for Individual Microentrepreneurs (MEIs). The proposal increases the annual gross revenue ceiling for MEIs to R$130,000. Regarding the proposed end of the six-days-on, one-day-...
Still no space for a third-way candidate and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Mar 2026
Finance Minister Fernando Haddad is expected to leave the ministry to run for governor of São Paulo in October. The Central Bank will decide the benchmark interest rate. A session in Congress is scheduled to promulgate the Mercosur–European Union agreement. The Supreme Federal Court (STF) will be...
Haddad is expected to step down this week to run for Governor of São Paulo, the Central Bank should decide on the benchmark interest rate, and Motta will meet with party leaders to discuss the week’s legislative agenda
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 16 Mar 2026
Finance Minister Fernando Haddad (PT) is expected to step down from his post this week. On Thursday (Mar. 19), he is scheduled to present a review of his tenure during an event in São Paulo alongside President Lula. Haddad will run for governor of São Paulo. The Central Bank’s Monetary Policy Com...
Justice Zanin rejected the request to install a CPI on Banco Master, Haddad is expected to step down as Minister of Finance next week, and the federal government announced a reduction in taxes on diesel fuel
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 Mar 2026
Justice Cristiano Zanin of the Supreme Federal Court (STF) rejected a request filed by Congressman Rodrigo Rollemberg (PSB-DF) seeking to compel the creation of a Parliamentary Committee of Inquiry (CPI) to investigate alleged irregularities involving Banco Master and Banco de Brasília (BRB). Des...
Justice Toffoli recused himself from the request to install a CPI on Banco Master, a new poll on the presidential succession was released, and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro’s candidacy continues to gain momentum
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 12 Mar 2026
Justice Dias Toffoli of the Supreme Federal Court (STF) was randomly assigned to report on a writ of mandamus filed by Congressman Rodrigo Rollemberg (PSB-DF) seeking the installation of a Parliamentary Committee of Inquiry (CPI) to investigate Banco Master. However, Toffoli recused himself from ...
Daniel Vorcaro may enter into a plea agreement, members of Congress have submitted a request to install a CPI to investigate the Banco Master case, and Lula’s meeting with Trump has been postponed due to the war in Iran
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 11 Mar 2026
In Brasília, the possibility that Daniel Vorcaro may enter into a plea agreement is increasingly being discussed as a real scenario. The decision by Supreme Federal Court (STF) justice and case rapporteur André Mendonça to relax visitation rules for Vorcaro at the federal penitentiary in Brasília...
Haddad will reportedly run for Governor of São Paulo, 35 senators have signed a request to install a CPI to investigate the Banco Master case, and the TSE continues to adjudicate the case against Rio Governor Castro
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 10 Mar 2026
Finance Minister Fernando Haddad has reportedly been persuaded to run for governor of São Paulo in October. His departure from the ministry is expected to take place next week. Senator Alessandro Vieira (MDB-SE) yesterday filed a request to establish a Parliamentary Committee of Inquiry (CPI) to ...
The Banco Master case: questions and answers
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 10 Mar 2026
Are new revelations likely to intensify attention around the Banco Master case and keep it in the spotlight in the media, Congress, and social networks? Will the press continue to give the case prominent coverage? Could supporters, political allies, and operators close to President Lula and Senat...
The Banco Master crisis is likely to escalate and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 09 Mar 2026
The Public Security Constitutional Amendment Proposal (PEC) is expected to begin moving through the Senate. Banker Daniel Vorcaro may testify before the Senate Economic Affairs Committee. The Chief Justice of the Supreme Federal Court (STF), Justice Edson Fachin, will meet with court presidents t...