BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
VP Alckmin announced that import tariffs on some foods will be eliminated, the PT will meet to decide on their next party president, and the 2025 Budget may be put to a vote next week or the following week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 07 Mar 2025
Yesterday, Vice President Geraldo Alckmin (PSB) announced that import tariffs will be eliminated for meat, coffee, corn, sugar, olive oil, sunflower oil, sardines, cookies, and pasta. The measure was announced following an inter ministerial meeting and is intended to lower food prices. Today, the...
Ministerial reform strengthens inner circle but fails to address a major challenge
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 Feb 2025
President Lula’s (PT) ministerial reform has begun with risky moves. The Minister of Health, Nísia Trindade, has been replaced by the Minister of Institutional Relations, Alexandre Padilha (PT), confirming Trindade’s political sidelining. On the same day she was replaced, Trindade participated in...
Lula gave an optimistic speech about the economy, VP Alckmin will meet with U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick to discuss tariffs, and Padilha will replace Trindade at the Ministry of Health next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 Feb 2025
During an event in Santos, alongside São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicanos), Lula delivered an optimistic speech about the economy. He stated that Brazil will grow 3.8% in 2024 and slightly over 2.5% in 2025, contradicting what he believes are the pessimistic forecasts of some econ...
The government will meet with food sector representatives to discuss food prices, rumors in Brasilia suggest Haddad could be replaced, and Lula said he has chosen a replacement for Minister Padilha
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 Feb 2025
In an effort to accelerate a decline in food prices, the government is expected to meet again with the supermarket and food sector to discuss the issue. Chief of Staff Rui Costa (PT) stated that discussions are underway for the meeting to take place next week. Yesterday, rumors emerged about a p...
Another poll confirms Lula’s decline in popularity, the Minister of Health will be replaced, and the Ministry of Labor announced a provisional measure on accessing FGTS funds
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 26 Feb 2025 · 2 responses
Another public opinion poll released yesterday confirmed the decline in President Lula’s popularity. According to CNT/MDA, disapproval of the government has reached its worst level since January 2023. Yesterday, the dismissal of Health Minister Nísia Trindade was confirmed. She will be replaced b...
Lula announced more payments from the Pé de Meia educational program, he will meet with the Minister of Labor to discuss the FGTS payments, and the Federal Budget should be put to a vote on March 11
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 25 Feb 2025
Yesterday, President Lula delivered a nationwide address on radio and TV to announce two measures. The first is that today, a payment of R$ 1,000 from the Pé de Meia program will be made. This is a financial-educational incentive program aimed at students enrolled in public high schools. Today, L...
Senate Committees pose challenges to the government and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 24 Feb 2025
This is the week before Carnival, with reduced activities in Brasília. The main event is the conciliation meeting led by the Supreme Federal Court (STF) regarding parliamentary fund transfers. The Lower House may vote on a complementary bill (PLP) that restores outstanding payments from 2019 that...
Two bills may be put to a vote in the House, Justice Dino will hold a conciliation meeting this week on parliamentary fund transfers, and a cabinet reshuffle remains on the radar
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 24 Feb 2025
In the Lower House, some important bills are on the agenda. Two bills aimed at facilitating small business exports may be put to a vote: PL No. 4,043/24, which reduces taxes for small exporters, and PLP No. 167/24, which simplifies the refund process for taxes already paid on exported products fo...
The testimony of Bolsonaro’s former aid Mauro Cid has caused split reactions, next week the focus will be on the reconciliation meeting between the branches of government, and the House is expected to vote on two export bills
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 21 Feb 2025
The release of videos featuring the testimony of former President Jair Bolsonaro’s former aide-de-camp, Mauro Cid, has sparked different reactions among government supporters and Bolsonaro’s allies. The pressure for Bolsonaro to signal whom he will support has intensified, but he continues to res...