2026 ELECTIONS: The Candidates

BRAZIL ECONOMICS - Report 06 Jul 2026 by Alexandre Schwartsman, Cristina Pinotti and Diego Brandao

Opinion polls on voter preferences regarding presidential candidates continue to reflect a frozen scenario between the two extremes - Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro - with the lead oscillating according to the news flow. At the moment, after the revelations of Flavio's involvement with Daniel Vorcaro, Lula has moved ahead. However, both candidates' rejection rates remain high, and when Flavio is removed from the scenario, both Caiado and Zema appear with voting intentions only slightly below those obtained by Bolsonaro's son, offering some encouragement to the possibility of an exit from polarization.

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