Still no space for a third-way candidate and other weekly topics

BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 17 Mar 2026 by Murillo de Aragão and Cristiano Noronha

Finance Minister Fernando Haddad is expected to leave the ministry to run for governor of São Paulo in October. The Central Bank will decide the benchmark interest rate. A session in Congress is scheduled to promulgate the Mercosur–European Union agreement. The Supreme Federal Court (STF) will begin reviewing the privatization of Sabesp.

This week's Talking Points:

- Risk of a plea deal by Daniel Vorcaro.

- High rejection of Lula and Flávio does not open space for a third way.

 - Who has the edge in São Paulo, Minas Gerais and Rio de Janeiro?

 - Flávio and the presidential race.

 - Trends in the party-switching window and the party federations.

 - The end of 6x1 is under debate in the Lower House.

Now read on...

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