The race for the strategic vote in 2026 and other weekly topics

BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 15 Dec 2025 by Murillo de Aragão and Cristiano Noronha

This is the final week of legislative activity in the National Congress before the holiday recess and it comes with a packed agenda. In the Lower House, highlights include the review of the IBS Management Committee, the linear cut to tax benefits, and the Anti-Faction Law. In the Senate, the Sentencing Bill may be voted on. Congress is also expected to vote on the 2026 Federal Budget. President Lula is convening a cabinet meeting and will participate in a Mercosur meeting. The release of public opinion polls on government performance and the presidential succession is also expected.

This week's Talking Points:

- Support for the government falls in November.

- The race for the strategic vote in 2026.

- The Sentencing Bill does not remove Flávio Bolsonaro from the presidential race.

- The year-end legislative agenda.

- Economic developments in 2026.

Now read on...

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