Disinflation and weak growth, revisions of fiscal plans, and volatility in politics

POLAND - Report 06 May 2025 by Jan Hagemejer

Inflation in Poland shows signs of easing, and expectations of interest rate cuts are high. Economic recovery remains sluggish, with weak retail sales, manufacturing output, and most confidence indicators. The government has adjusted fiscal plans due to lower tax revenues, increasing the deficit forecast while keeping debt projections stable for now. Meanwhile, the presidential election campaign is becoming increasingly aggressive, with multiple presidential debates. Trzaskowski is losing some support to his opponents, and potentially allies.

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