GULF WEEKLY: UAE-EU trade talks launched, UAE & KSA do US LNG deals, Oman bank merger proposed, Bahrain tourism surges
A skimmable summary overlaid with our analysis and links. Headlines:
* Oil touched a new four-year low, raising concerns about larger GCC deficits and financing needs.
* US-Iran talks in Oman are scheduled tomorrow and may also be a factor weighing on the oil market.
* Gulf equity markets declined this week, with Saudi Arabia seeing the biggest peak decline (-7.7%).
* All bond yields also rose sharply higher, along with CDSs for Bahrain, Oman and Saudi Arabia.
* The Saudi PMI eased to a still-strong 58.1; Qatar and Kuwait saw small increases from lower levels.
* Aramco signed an LNG purchase agreement for a planned project in Texas.
* Mubadala is buying a 24% stake in Texas Gas and a planned LNG export terminal.
* The UAE launched talks for a CEPA trade deal with the EU, aiming to conclude it in “months”.
* Dubai was once again the most popular city globally for millionaire migrants.
* Qatar’s current account surplus was 17% of GDP in 2024, and investment inflows improved.
* Kuwait signed a design contract for a rail link to Saudi Arabia; it suffered another electricity blackout.
* Oman’s Sohar International Bank proposed a merger with Ahli Bank.
* Bahrain saw an impressive 20% surge in tourists in 2024, to 15m.
* Bahrain is preparing to import LNG for the first time, which will be more expensive than local gas.
* Bahrain is now without an ambassador to Israel; Israel’s foreign minister visited the UAE.
* Databank updates: Qatar current account, PMIs, Bahrain and Dubai tourism.
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