Ministerial changes, IMF reflections

TURKEY - Report 15 Feb 2026 by Murat Ucer and Atilla Yesilada

President Erdogan changed his Interior and Justice Ministers at a delicate juncture in the Peace Process. The former Interior Minister Ali Yerlikaya was offered as the sacrificial lamb to MHP, as the minister’s habit of purging nationalist high-ranking cops irritated the junior partner. The new name is very Islamist and a strict law and order man.

The big controversy of the week was triggered when former Istanbul Chief DA, the man who put Ekrem Imamoglu behind bars, Mr Akin Gurlek was appointed Justice Minister. Among others, his new job will entail streamlining and expediting the war against CHP. This appointment is already creating shock waves in many directions, all of which will be covered in the lead politics essay.

According to a Saturday Reuters report, the Pentagon is prepping for a long war with Iran, fully aware that the target nation will retaliate. The politics author already discussed what war between Iran vs US-Israel would mean for Turkey, but Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan’s public comments about Turkey possibly joining the nuclear arms race requires new scrutiny. As well, according to reputable sources, a prolonged war could in the worst case scenario push Brent over $100/barrel, wreaking havoc with inflation and CBRT’s loosening plans.

Finally, the Peace Commission is expected to issue its report to the Grand Assembly “soon”. First leaks from the report suggest the Kurds will get much less than they consider their red lines. The Erdogan-Bahceli plan to write a new constitution is becoming more distant as days pass.

Now read on...

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