The Middle East conflict: a catalyst for policy recalibration in Argentina?

ARGENTINA - Report 25 Mar 2026 by Joaquin Cottani

The Middle East conflict represents a double-edged sword for Argentina. While it strengthens the external sector through improved terms of trade, it also exacerbates inflationary pressures and financial vulnerabilities. This combination may ultimately force a reassessment of the current policy mix. Whether or not the government seizes this opportunity to recalibrate its monetary and exchange rate framework will be a key determinant of macroeconomic stability in the months ahead.

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