Trump’s opening remarks indicate carrot-and-stick approach towards Russia-Ukraine negotiations

RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS - Report 28 Jan 2025 by Alex Teddy, Alexei Panin and Javier Espadas

• Trump threatens Russia and “participating countries” with more sanctions, tariffs and taxes if no peace deal is reached soon.
• Russia’s oil revenues will be targeted by Trump—Western sanctions against the shadow fleet are increasing costs, stalling China and India’s purchases of Russian oil.
• Moscow and Kiev are suffering from war weariness, as Russia’s momentum in the conflict and Zelensky’s demographic and financially dire situation make a peace deal credible in the short-term.

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